NEW YORK POST
President Biden has a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in the popular vote of a hypothetical 2024 matchup, a new national poll shows.
The Quinnipiac University survey shows Biden leading Trump 50% to 44% after the same poll had the incumbent edging out his rival, 47% to 46%, in December.
Biden’s strong numbers are driven by the support of 58% of female voters, 52% of independents and 62% of voters with college degrees.
“The gender demographic tells a story to keep an eye on,” said Quinnipiac polling analyst Tim Malloy. “Propelled by female voters in just the past few weeks, the head-to-head tie with Trump morphs into a modest lead for Biden.”
By contrast, Trump wins male voters with 53% support in that demographic, but only captures 40% of independents.
Biden still leads Trump if third-party candidates are introduced into the race.
In a five-person contest, Biden receives 39%, Trump receives 37%, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. gets 14%, independent candidate Cornel West comes in at 3% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 2%.
The 45th president leads Biden among Hispanic voters, getting 47% compared to the Democrat’s 45%. However, that’s more than offset by Biden’s advantage among black voters, where Trump has just 16% support.
The poll is a significant outlier in favor of Biden, who trails Trump 47.1% to 44.6% in the RealClearPolitics average of polling data.
